As of November 2025, ex-President Jair Bolsonaro is serving a 27-year-and-three-month sentence at the Federal Police headquarters in Brasilia. His conviction for attempting a coup, participation in an armed criminal organization and violent abolition of the democratic rule of law became final after all appeals were exhausted earlier this year, barring him from public office.
Under Brazil's Penal Execution Law ⚖️, violent offenders must serve 25% of their term before requesting a semi-open regime. Bolsonaro's total sentence spans 9,945 days. By the numbers, 25% equals about 2,486 days—roughly six years and ten months—making him eligible around 2032, experts say.
Mauricio Dieter, criminology professor at the University of Sao Paulo, breaks down the calculation: 9,945 days × 0.25 = 2,486 days. That milestone could transform Bolsonaro’s prison life in about six years from now.
Currently held in a 12-square-meter cell after an alleged escape attempt—he reportedly tried to cut off his electronic ankle monitor—Bolsonaro has faced strict supervision since Justice Alexandre de Moraes ordered his detention. Meanwhile, Brazil’s electoral court has confirmed he cannot hold public office ever again.
What does this mean for Brazil’s political landscape? While 2032 seems far off, that date could reshape discussions about accountability, justice and the rule of law in Latin America. Stay tuned as this story unfolds! ✨
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Brazil's ex-President Bolsonaro may enter a semi-open regime by 2032
cgtn.com
